Pythagorean Wins for Brassworld 2004
The
number of runs a team scores and allows is closely related to its winning percentage.
Deviations do occur and these can be attributed to luck or managerial skill. Deviations
plus or minus 4 wins or less are generally attributed to luck; more extreme deviations
might still be luck but are more likely to involve other explanations.
In
the final set of numbers for Brassworld 2004, Portland’s
manager has distinguished himself again by posting a record nearly 7 wins better
than the runs for and against would have predicted. Other teams posting better
than expected records include Annadale (+5) and Savannah
(+8). Savannah actually bettered Portland
but Savannah did not make the playoffs
or even have a winning record thus its achievement is somewhat hollow for the
time being but may portend another managerial genius in the bud as was the case
with Portland last year.
The
two most underperforming teams were Waukesha
and Williamsburg. Both of these teams
sported pitiful records in one run games which could easily account for the deviations
seen. Williamsburg in particular finished
at 16-37 in one run games, an improvement over its horrific 6-26 mark at the half
way point.
Complete
Pythagorean Wins for Brassworld 2004 in Excel Format.