Brassworld Pythagorean Results Mid season July 2005
As a reminder, the number of
runs a team scores and allows generally allows for a fairly accurate prediction
of its winning percentage. Random variation (i.e. luck) can account for up to 4
games + or – from the prediction; that’s not to say skill or lack thereof can
not also account for deviations from the prediction. Usually, the deviation is
larger to reliably suggest causes other than luck to be the reason for the
deviation.
At mid season, fans of the
Mansfield Mounties do have one thing to cheer about: this is the most efficient
team in Brassworld. Their run differential suggests a win total of 16; they
have in fact won 25 games. The manager is allocating the teams PAs and IPs
wisely apparently realizing it makes no difference if one loses 6-0 or 16-0.
Congratulations and a thousand pats on the back to the
The Pythagorean results
suggest a somewhat tighter race between
Likewise,
Other results of note include
Aspen’s +4 edge in wins over predicted which also suggests attentive managing
but like with Mansfield this gem of an effort is almost invisible on a
miserable team. At least the
Brassworld Pythagorean
Results Mid Season 2005 Spreadsheet