Brassworld Pythagorean Results October 2005
As a reminder, the number of runs a team scores and gives up by a mathematical formula can predict its winning percentage generally by + or - 4 games. Deviations outside this range are less likely attributed to luck and might have an organic cause. An excess of games won over that predicted by the formula suggests an Earl Weaver or Billy Martin like attention to the details of the game, such as knowledge of the other teamís bench and your own limitations, or perhaps just pivotal use of allowable Stratball techniques. A poorer record might result from a managerís inability to lay off the hard stuff while managing or might come about as result of inattention due to a miserable season.
This yearís results show as
usual most teams within the predicted 4 games of the Pythagorean estimate.† Two poor teams (Baltimore and
The better field managers
this year included several also-rans such as
Buckeye alone among the playoff teams did a little better than predicted; that managerís efforts could account for an extra game won over what might have been due luck alone.